Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.601785 0.696384 0.800132 0.922244 1.061919 1.216579 1.400703
2025-05-25 0.434924 0.560895 0.713518 0.911493 1.160930 1.464164 1.860131
2025-06-01 0.344572 0.480681 0.657856 0.904222 1.236630 1.668114 2.269045
2025-06-08 0.276800 0.412254 0.599394 0.874964 1.268224 1.806657 2.596648
2025-06-15 0.251127 0.395319 0.604789 0.928431 1.412408 2.105016 3.165893
2025-06-22 0.210267 0.348687 0.559453 0.900029 1.431917 2.224822 3.488347
2025-06-29 0.178183 0.310088 0.519848 0.873065 1.447054 2.335174 3.802212
2025-07-06 0.153293 0.279090 0.487407 0.851896 1.466377 2.450328 4.130200
2025-07-13 0.139610 0.264870 0.480089 0.869970 1.549448 2.671594 4.644987
2025-07-20 0.132036 0.260205 0.488022 0.914088 1.679506 2.979627 5.328341
2025-07-27 0.122950 0.251389 0.487294 0.942241 1.783708 3.251995 5.973512
2025-08-03 0.112957 0.239395 0.479144 0.955470 1.861630 3.484327 6.567187
2025-08-10 0.101696 0.223669 0.462672 0.952260 1.910888 3.673586 7.107669
2025-08-17 0.090663 0.206927 0.442318 0.939374 1.940804 3.830953 7.605620
2025-08-24 0.081591 0.192994 0.425759 0.931805 1.979568 4.007074 8.152548
2025-08-31 0.071599 0.175568 0.399785 0.901696 1.969635 4.088141 8.522290
2025-09-07 0.069957 0.176843 0.413584 0.956710 2.139090 4.533845 9.645133
2025-09-14 0.061825 0.161734 0.389758 0.927486 2.128432 4.617764 10.047706
2025-09-21 0.054783 0.148214 0.367802 0.899742 2.117693 4.699662 10.451569
2025-09-28 0.048959 0.136864 0.349436 0.877958 2.117525 4.802844 10.907385
2025-10-05 0.046202 0.133020 0.348405 0.896556 2.210075 5.111078 11.825888
2025-10-12 0.045157 0.133576 0.358135 0.941952 2.368614 5.575363 13.120435
2025-10-19 0.043248 0.131505 0.361061 0.970918 2.491072 5.969174 14.289027